form8k-20121025.htm
 
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C.  20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) October 25, 2012

OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware
1-9210
95-4035997
(State or other jurisdiction
(Commission
(I.R.S. Employer
of incorporation)
File Number)
Identification No.)

10889 Wilshire Boulevard
   
Los Angeles, California
 
90024
(Address of principal executive offices)
 
(ZIP code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:
(310) 208-8800

 
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

[   ]  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

[   ]  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

[   ]  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

[   ]  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
 
 
 
 
Section 2 – Financial Information

Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition
 
On October 25, 2012, Occidental Petroleum Corporation released information regarding its results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2012.  The exhibits to this Form 8-K and the information set forth in this Item 2.02 are being furnished pursuant to Item 2.02, Results of Operations and Financial Condition.  The full text of the press release is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1.  The full text of the speeches given by Cynthia L. Walker and Stephen Chazen are attached to this report as Exhibit 99.2.  Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules are attached to this report as Exhibit 99.3.  Earnings Conference Call Slides are attached to this report as Exhibit 99.4.  Forward-Looking Statements Disclosure for Earnings Release Presentation Materials is attached to this report as Exhibit 99.5.  The information in this Item 2.02 and Exhibits 99.1 through 99.5, inclusive, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
 

Section 8 – Other Events

Item 8.01.  Other Events
 
On October 25, 2012, Occidental Petroleum Corporation announced income from continuing operations of $1.4 billion ($1.70 per diluted share) for the third quarter of 2012, compared with the third quarter of 2011 income from continuing operations of $1.8 billion ($2.18 per diluted share).

Oil and Gas

Oil and gas segment earnings were $2.0 billion for the third quarter of 2012, compared with $2.6 billion for the third quarter of 2011.  Lower product prices and higher costs in the third quarter of 2012 were partially offset by higher oil volumes.

For the third quarter of 2012, daily oil and gas production volumes averaged 766,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE), compared with 739,000 BOE in the third quarter of 2011.

The third quarter 2012 production increase resulted from higher volumes of 33,000 BOE per day from domestic operations, partially offset by a decrease in international production.  The international decrease included lower volumes from Dolphin, resulting from the full cost recovery of pre-startup capital, and in Yemen due to the Masila field contract expiration, partially offset by higher volumes from other international operations.

Daily sales volumes increased from 743,000 BOE in the third quarter of 2011 to 765,000 BOE in the third quarter of 2012.

Oxy’s realized price for worldwide crude oil was $96.62 per barrel for the third quarter of 2012, compared with $97.24 per barrel for the third quarter of 2011. The third quarter of 2012 realized oil price represents 105 percent of the average WTI and 88 percent of the average Brent price for the quarter. Worldwide NGL prices were $40.65 per barrel in the third quarter of 2012, compared with $56.06 per barrel in the third quarter of 2011. Domestic gas prices decreased 41 percent from $4.23 per MCF in the third quarter of 2011 to $2.48 per MCF for the third quarter of 2012.
 
1
 
 
 
 
Third quarter 2012 realized prices were lower than second quarter 2012 prices for worldwide oil and NGLs and were higher for domestic natural gas.  On a sequential quarterly basis, prices decreased 3 percent for worldwide crude oil and NGLs and increased 19 percent for domestic natural gas.

Chemicals

Chemical segment earnings for the third quarter of 2012 were $162 million, compared with $245 million in the third quarter of 2011.  The decrease was the result of lower prices across most product lines, particularly in polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and vinyl chloride monomer (VCM), partially offset by lower natural gas and ethylene costs.

Midstream, Marketing and Other

Midstream segment earnings were $156 million for the third quarter of 2012, compared with $77 million for the third quarter of 2011. The results reflect higher margins in the marketing and trading businesses, partially offset by lower income in the gas processing and pipeline businesses.

NINE-MONTH RESULTS

Core income for the first nine months of 2012 was $4.3 billion ($5.26 per diluted share), compared with $5.2 billion ($6.37 per diluted share) for the same period in 2011.  Cash flow from operations after working capital changes was $8.5 billion.

Oil and Gas

Oil and gas segment earnings were $6.6 billion for the first nine months of 2012, compared with $7.7 billion for the same period of 2011.  The decrease in 2012 reflected lower NGL and natural gas prices, higher operating costs, exploration expense and DD&A rates, partially offset by higher oil prices and domestic volumes.

Oil and gas production volumes for the nine months were 762,000 BOE per day for 2012, compared with 728,000 BOE per day for the same period in 2011.  Year-over-year, our domestic production increased by nearly 10 percent, while total company production increased by nearly 5 percent.  Dolphin's full cost recovery of pre-startup capital, which reduced our production, was the only operation where production sharing and similar contracts had an appreciable effect.

The nine-month 2012 production increase resulted from 41,000 BOE per day in higher domestic volumes, partially offset by lower volumes in the Middle East/North Africa and Latin America.

Daily sales volumes were 757,000 BOE in the first nine months of 2012, compared with 726,000 BOE for the same period in 2011.

Oxy's realized prices improved for crude oil but declined for natural gas and NGLs on a year-over-year basis. Worldwide crude oil prices were $101.20 per barrel for the nine months of 2012, compared with $97.33 per barrel for the nine months of 2011.  Worldwide NGL prices were $45.21 per barrel for the nine months of 2012, compared with $55.63 per barrel in the nine months of 2011.  Domestic gas prices declined 42 percent, from $4.24 per MCF in the nine months of 2011 to $2.47 per MCF in the nine months of 2012.

2
 
 
 
 
Chemicals

Chemical segment earnings were $540 million for the nine months of 2012, compared with $717 million for the same period in 2011.  The reduction was primarily a result of lower export volumes and prices due to the economic conditions in Europe and Asia, partially offset by lower energy and feedstock costs.

Midstream, Marketing and Other

Midstream segment earnings were $364 million for the nine months of 2012, compared with $378 million for the same period in 2011.

Forward-Looking Statements

Portions of this press release contain forward-looking statements and involve risks and uncertainties that could materially affect expected results of operations, liquidity, cash flows and business prospects. Factors that could cause results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: global commodity pricing fluctuations; supply and demand considerations for Occidental’s products; general domestic political and regulatory approval conditions; higher-than-expected costs; international political conditions; not successfully completing, or any material delay of, any development of new fields, expansion projects, capital expenditures, efficiency-improvement projects, acquisitions or dispositions; potential failure to achieve expected production from existing and future oil and gas development projects or acquisitions; exploration risks such as drilling unsuccessful wells; any changes in general economic conditions domestically or internationally; the ability to attract trained engineers; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations and litigation; potential liability resulting from pending or future litigation; potential disruption or interruption of Occidental’s production or manufacturing or damage to facilities due to accidents, chemical releases, labor unrest, weather, natural disasters, political events or insurgent activity; failure of risk management; changes in law or regulations; or changes in tax rates. Words such as "estimate", "project", "predict", "will", "would", "should", "could", "may", "might", "anticipate", "plan", "intend", "believe", "expect", "aim", "goal", "target", "objective", "likely" or similar expressions that convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes generally indicate forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this report. Unless legally required, Occidental does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Material risks that may affect Occidental’s results of operations and financial position appear in Part 1, Item 1A "Risk Factors" of the 2011 Form 10-K.
 
3
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 1
                                 
SUMMARY OF SEGMENT NET SALES AND EARNINGS
                                 
   
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
($ millions, except per-share amounts)
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
SEGMENT NET SALES
                               
Oil and Gas
 
$
4,635
   
$
4,677
   
$
14,032
   
$
13,635
 
Chemical
   
1,119
     
1,231
     
3,439
     
3,721
 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
   
389
     
256
     
1,044
     
1,109
 
Eliminations
   
(178
)
   
(158
)
   
(514
)
   
(560
)
                                 
Net Sales
 
$
5,965
   
$
6,006
   
$
18,001
   
$
17,905
 
                                 
SEGMENT EARNINGS
                               
Oil and Gas  (a)
 
$
2,026
   
$
2,612
   
$
6,573
   
$
7,704
 
Chemical
   
162
     
245
     
540
     
717
 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
   
156
     
77
     
364
     
378
 
     
2,344
     
2,934
     
7,477
     
8,799
 
                                 
Unallocated Corporate Items
                               
Interest expense, net (b)
   
(34
)
   
(23
)
   
(87
)
   
(259
)
Income taxes (c)
   
(855
)
   
(1,087
)
   
(2,869
)
   
(3,252
)
Other
   
(76
)
   
(49
)
   
(250
)
   
(289
)
                                 
Income from Continuing Operations
   
1,379
     
1,775
     
4,271
     
4,999
 
Discontinued operations, net (d)
   
(4
)
   
(4
)
   
(9
)
   
138
 
                                 
NET INCOME
 
$
1,375
   
$
1,771
   
$
4,262
   
$
5,137
 
                                 
BASIC EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE
                               
Income from continuing operations
 
$
1.70
   
$
2.18
   
$
5.26
   
$
6.14
 
Discontinued operations, net
   
(0.01
)
   
(0.01
)
   
(0.01
)
   
0.17
 
   
$
1.69
   
$
2.17
   
$
5.25
   
$
6.31
 
                                 
DILUTED EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE
                               
Income from continuing operations
 
$
1.70
   
$
2.18
   
$
5.26
   
$
6.14
 
Discontinued operations, net
   
(0.01
)
   
(0.01
)
   
(0.01
)
   
0.17
 
   
$
1.69
   
$
2.17
   
$
5.25
   
$
6.31
 
AVERAGE COMMON SHARES OUTSTANDING
                               
BASIC
   
809.7
     
812.5
     
810.1
     
812.6
 
DILUTED
   
810.4
     
813.2
     
810.8
     
813.3
 
                                 
(a) Oil and Gas - The nine months of 2011 include pre-tax charges of $35 million related to exploration write-offs in Libya and $29 million related to Colombia net worth tax.  Also, included in the nine months of 2011 results is a pre-tax gain for sale of an interest in a Colombia pipeline of $22 million.
(b) Unallocated Corporate Items - Interest Expense, net - The nine months of 2011 include a pre-tax charge of $163 million related to the premium on debt extinguishment.
(c) Unallocated Corporate Items - Taxes - The nine months of 2011 include a net $21 million charge for out-of-period state income taxes.
(d) Discontinued Operations, net - The nine months of 2011 include a $144 million after-tax gain from the sale of the Argentine operations.
 
4
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 2
                                 
SUMMARY OF CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND DD&A EXPENSE
                                 
   
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
($ millions)
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
 
$
2,591
   
$
2,011
   
$
7,716
   
$
4,969
 
                                 
DEPRECIATION, DEPLETION AND
                               
AMORTIZATION OF ASSETS
 
$
1,149
   
$
924
   
$
3,320
   
$
2,653
 
 
5
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 3
                                 
SUMMARY OF OPERATING STATISTICS - PRODUCTION
                                 
   
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
   
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
NET OIL, GAS AND LIQUIDS PRODUCTION PER DAY
                               
United States
                               
Crude Oil (MBBL)
                               
California
   
88
     
80
     
87
     
78
 
Permian
   
144
     
133
     
140
     
132
 
Midcontinent and Other
   
28
     
17
     
24
     
16
 
Total
   
260
     
230
     
251
     
226
 
                                 
NGL (MBBL)
                               
California
   
18
     
16
     
16
     
15
 
Permian
   
40
     
37
     
39
     
38
 
Midcontinent and Other
   
16
     
20
     
18
     
14
 
Total
   
74
     
73
     
73
     
67
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
                               
California
   
247
     
269
     
261
     
254
 
Permian
   
151
     
151
     
153
     
153
 
Midcontinent and Other
   
414
     
379
     
414
     
357
 
Total
   
812
     
799
     
828
     
764
 
                                 
Latin America
                               
Crude Oil  (MBBL) - Colombia
   
30
     
27
     
28
     
29
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF) - Bolivia
   
12
     
15
     
13
     
16
 
                                 
Middle East / North Africa
                               
Crude Oil (MBBL)
                               
Bahrain
   
4
     
4
     
5
     
4
 
Dolphin
   
7
     
10
     
8
     
10
 
Oman
   
69
     
69
     
65
     
68
 
Qatar
   
69
     
73
     
71
     
72
 
Other
   
34
     
32
     
36
     
39
 
Total
   
183
     
188
     
185
     
193
 
                                 
NGL (MBBL)
                               
Dolphin
   
7
     
11
     
9
     
11
 
Other
   
1
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Total
   
8
     
11
     
9
     
11
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
                               
Bahrain
   
237
     
169
     
229
     
171
 
Dolphin
   
147
     
215
     
171
     
205
 
Oman
   
57
     
59
     
57
     
53
 
Total
   
441
     
443
     
457
     
429
 
                                 
                                 
Barrels of Oil Equivalent (MBOE)
   
766
     
739
     
762
     
728
 
 
6
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 4
                                 
SUMMARY OF OPERATING STATISTICS - SALES
                                 
   
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
   
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
NET OIL, GAS AND LIQUIDS SALES PER DAY
                               
                                 
United States
                               
Crude Oil (MBBL)
   
259
     
230
     
251
     
226
 
NGL (MBBL)
   
74
     
73
     
73
     
67
 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
   
807
     
799
     
825
     
764
 
                                 
Latin America
                               
Crude Oil  (MBBL) - Colombia
   
30
     
24
     
28
     
29
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF) - Bolivia
   
12
     
15
     
13
     
16
 
                                 
Middle East / North Africa
                               
Crude Oil (MBBL)
                               
Bahrain
   
4
     
4
     
4
     
4
 
Dolphin
   
7
     
9
     
8
     
9
 
Oman
   
67
     
71
     
64
     
70
 
Qatar
   
68
     
76
     
70
     
73
 
Other
   
38
     
35
     
34
     
35
 
Total
   
184
     
195
     
180
     
191
 
                                 
NGL (MBBL)
                               
Dolphin
   
8
     
11
     
9
     
11
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
   
441
     
443
     
457
     
429
 
                                 
                                 
Barrels of Oil Equivalent (MBOE)
   
765
     
743
     
757
     
726
 
 
7
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 5
                                 
SIGNIFICANT TRANSACTIONS AND EVENTS AFFECTING EARNINGS
                                 
Occidental's results of operations often include the effects of significant transactions and events affecting earnings that vary widely and unpredictably in nature, timing and amount. Therefore, management uses a measure called "core results," which excludes those items. This non-GAAP measure is not meant to disassociate those items from management's performance, but rather is meant to provide useful information to investors interested in comparing Occidental's earnings performance between periods. Reported earnings are considered representative of management's performance over the long term. Core results is not considered to be an alternative to operating income in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles.
                                 
   
Third Quarter
($ millions, except per-share amounts)
 
2012
 
Diluted
EPS
 
2011
 
Diluted
EPS
TOTAL REPORTED EARNINGS
 
$
1,375
   
$
1.69
   
$
1,771
   
$
2.17
 
                                 
Oil and Gas
                               
Segment Earnings
 
$
2,026
           
$
2,612
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
2,026
             
2,612
         
                                 
Chemicals
                               
Segment Earnings
   
162
             
245
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
162
             
245
         
                                 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
                               
Segment Earnings
   
156
             
77
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
156
             
77
         
                                 
Total Segment Core Results
   
2,344
             
2,934
         
                                 
Corporate
                               
Corporate Results --
                               
Non Segment *
   
(969
)
           
(1,163
)
       
Add:
                               
Discontinued operations, net **
   
4
             
4
         
                                 
Corporate Core Results - Non Segment
   
(965
)
           
(1,159
)
       
                                 
TOTAL CORE RESULTS
 
$
1,379
   
$
1.70
   
$
1,775
   
$
2.18
 
                                 
 *  Interest expense, income taxes, G&A expense and other.
** Amounts shown after tax.
 
 
8
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 6
                                 
SIGNIFICANT TRANSACTIONS AND EVENTS AFFECTING EARNINGS (continued)
                                 
   
Nine Months
($ millions, except per-share amounts)
 
2012
 
Diluted
EPS
 
2011
 
Diluted
EPS
TOTAL REPORTED EARNINGS
 
$
4,262
   
$
5.25
   
$
5,137
   
$
6.31
 
                                 
Oil and Gas
                               
Segment Earnings
 
$
6,573
           
$
7,704
         
Add:
                               
Libya exploration write-off
   
-
             
35
         
Gain on sale of Colombia pipeline interest
   
-
             
(22
)
       
Foreign tax
   
-
             
29
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
6,573
             
7,746
         
                                 
Chemicals
                               
Segment Earnings
   
540
             
717
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
540
             
717
         
                                 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
                               
Segment Earnings
   
364
             
378
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
364
             
378
         
                                 
Total Segment Core Results
   
7,477
             
8,841
         
                                 
Corporate
                               
Corporate Results --
                               
Non Segment *
   
(3,215
)
           
(3,662
)
       
Add:
                               
Premium on debt extinguishments
   
-
             
163
         
State income tax charge
   
-
             
33
         
Tax effect of pre-tax adjustments
   
-
             
(50
)
       
Discontinued operations, net **
   
9
             
(138
)
       
                                 
Corporate Core Results - Non Segment
   
(3,206
)
           
(3,654
)
       
                                 
TOTAL CORE RESULTS
 
$
4,271
   
$
5.26
   
$
5,187
   
$
6.37
 
                                 
 *  Interest expense, income taxes, G&A expense and other
** Amounts shown after tax.
 
9
 
 
 
 
Section 9 - Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d)
 
Exhibits
     
99.1
 
Press release dated October 25, 2012.
     
99.2
 
Full text of speeches given by Cynthia L. Walker and Stephen Chazen.
     
99.3
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules.
     
99.4
 
Earnings Conference Call Slides.
     
99.5
 
Forward-Looking Statements Disclosure for Earnings Release Presentation Materials.
 
10
 
 
 
 
 
 
SIGNATURE


Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.


 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORPORATION
 
 
(Registrant)
 
     
     
DATE:  October 25, 2012
/s/ ROY PINECI
 
 
Roy Pineci, Vice President, Controller
 
 
and Principal Accounting Officer
 
 
 
 
 
 

EXHIBIT INDEX

(d)
 
Exhibits
     
99.1
 
Press release dated October 25, 2012.
     
99.2
 
Full text of speeches given by Cynthia L. Walker and Stephen Chazen.
     
99.3
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules.
     
99.4
 
Earnings Conference Call Slides.
     
99.5
 
Forward-Looking Statements Disclosure for Earnings Release Presentation Materials.
ex99_1-20121025.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1


For Immediate Release: October 25, 2012

Occidental Petroleum Announces Third Quarter of 2012 Income

 
 
Q3 2012 income from continuing operations of $1.4 billion ($1.70 per diluted share)
 
Q3 2012 domestic daily oil and gas production of 469,000 barrels of oil equivalent, a record for the eighth consecutive quarter
 
LOS ANGELES, October 25, 2012 -- Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:OXY) announced income from continuing operations of $1.4 billion ($1.70 per diluted share) for the third quarter of 2012, compared with the third quarter of 2011 income from continuing operations of $1.8 billion ($2.18 per diluted share).
In announcing the results, Stephen I. Chazen, President and Chief Executive Officer, said, "Our third quarter 2012 total company production of 766,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day was 27,000 per day, or 4 percent higher than the third quarter of 2011 production.  Our domestic production of 469,000 barrels of oil equivalent was 8 percent higher than the third quarter of 2011 and was a record for the eighth consecutive quarter.  Our domestic liquids production of 334,000 barrels per day, which was also a record, was 10 percent higher than last year's third quarter.
"Income from continuing operations diluted earnings per share of $1.70 was $0.06 higher than the second quarter of 2012 as a result of higher oil and gas volumes and improved results in the marketing and trading businesses, partially offset by lower oil prices.  We generated cash flow from operations before working capital changes of $9.2 billion for the first nine months of 2012 and invested $7.7 billion in capital expenditures."
 
Oil and Gas
 
Oil and gas segment earnings were $2.0 billion for the third quarter of 2012, compared with $2.6 billion for the third quarter of 2011.  Lower product prices and higher costs in the third quarter of 2012 were partially offset by higher oil volumes.
For the third quarter of 2012, daily oil and gas production volumes averaged 766,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE), compared with 739,000 BOE in the third quarter of 2011.
The third quarter 2012 production increase resulted from higher volumes of 33,000 BOE per day from domestic operations, partially offset by a decrease in international production.  The international decrease included lower volumes from Dolphin, resulting from the full cost recovery of pre-startup capital, and in Yemen due to the Masila field contract expiration, partially offset by higher volumes from other international operations.
Daily sales volumes increased from 743,000 BOE in the third quarter of 2011 to 765,000 BOE in the third quarter of 2012.
 
1 of 4
 
 
 
 
Oxy’s realized price for worldwide crude oil was $96.62 per barrel for the third quarter of 2012, compared with $97.24 per barrel for the third quarter of 2011. The third quarter of 2012 realized oil price represents 105 percent of the average WTI and 88 percent of the average Brent price for the quarter. Worldwide NGL prices were $40.65 per barrel in the third quarter of 2012, compared with $56.06 per barrel in the third quarter of 2011. Domestic gas prices decreased 41 percent from $4.23 per MCF in the third quarter of 2011 to $2.48 per MCF for the third quarter of 2012.
Third quarter 2012 realized prices were lower than second quarter 2012 prices for worldwide oil and NGLs and were higher for domestic natural gas.  On a sequential quarterly basis, prices decreased 3 percent for worldwide crude oil and NGLs and increased 19 percent for domestic natural gas.
 
Chemicals
 
Chemical segment earnings for the third quarter of 2012 were $162 million, compared with $245 million in the third quarter of 2011.  The decrease was the result of lower prices across most product lines, particularly in polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and vinyl chloride monomer (VCM), partially offset by lower natural gas and ethylene costs.
 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
 
Midstream segment earnings were $156 million for the third quarter of 2012, compared with $77 million for the third quarter of 2011. The results reflect higher margins in the marketing and trading businesses, partially offset by lower income in the gas processing and pipeline businesses.
 
NINE-MONTH RESULTS
 
Core income for the first nine months of 2012 was $4.3 billion ($5.26 per diluted share), compared with $5.2 billion ($6.37 per diluted share) for the same period in 2011.  Cash flow from operations after working capital changes was $8.5 billion.
 
Oil and Gas
 
Oil and gas segment earnings were $6.6 billion for the first nine months of 2012, compared with $7.7 billion for the same period of 2011.  The decrease in 2012 reflected lower NGL and natural gas prices, higher operating costs, exploration expense and DD&A rates, partially offset by higher oil prices and domestic volumes.
Oil and gas production volumes for the nine months were 762,000 BOE per day for 2012, compared with 728,000 BOE per day for the same period in 2011.  Year-over-year, our domestic production increased by nearly 10 percent, while total company production increased by nearly 5 percent.  Dolphin's full cost recovery of pre-startup capital, which reduced our production, was the only operation where production sharing and similar contracts had an appreciable effect.
 
2 of 4
 
 
 
 
The nine-month 2012 production increase resulted from 41,000 BOE per day in higher domestic volumes, partially offset by lower volumes in the Middle East/North Africa and Latin America.
Daily sales volumes were 757,000 BOE in the first nine months of 2012, compared with 726,000 BOE for the same period in 2011.
Oxy's realized prices improved for crude oil but declined for natural gas and NGLs on a year-over-year basis.  Worldwide crude oil prices were $101.20 per barrel for the nine months of 2012, compared with $97.33 per barrel for the nine months of 2011.  Worldwide NGL prices were $45.21 per barrel for the nine months of 2012, compared with $55.63 per barrel in the nine months of 2011.  Domestic gas prices declined 42 percent, from $4.24 per MCF in the nine months of 2011 to $2.47 per MCF in the nine months of 2012.
 
Chemicals
 
Chemical segment earnings were $540 million for the nine months of 2012, compared with $717 million for the same period in 2011.  The reduction was primarily a result of lower export volumes and prices due to the economic conditions in Europe and Asia, partially offset by lower energy and feedstock costs.
 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
 
Midstream segment earnings were $364 million for the nine months of 2012, compared with $378 million for the same period in 2011.
 
Forward-Looking Statements
 
 
Portions of this press release contain forward-looking statements and involve risks and uncertainties that could materially affect expected results of operations, liquidity, cash flows and business prospects. Factors that could cause results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: global commodity pricing fluctuations; supply and demand considerations for Occidental’s products; general domestic political and regulatory approval conditions; higher-than-expected costs; international political conditions; not successfully completing, or any material delay of, any development of new fields, expansion projects, capital expenditures, efficiency-improvement projects, acquisitions or dispositions; potential failure to achieve expected production from existing and future oil and gas development projects or acquisitions; exploration risks such as drilling unsuccessful wells; any changes in general economic conditions domestically or internationally; the ability to attract trained engineers; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations and litigation; potential liability resulting from pending or future litigation; potential disruption or interruption of Occidental’s production or manufacturing or damage to facilities due to accidents, chemical releases, labor unrest, weather, natural disasters, political events or insurgent activity; failure of risk management; changes in law or regulations; or changes in tax rates. Words such as "estimate", "project", "predict", "will", "would", "should", "could", "may", "might", "anticipate", "plan", "intend", "believe", "expect",
 
3 of 4
 
 
 
 


"aim", "goal", "target", "objective", "likely" or similar expressions that convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes generally indicate forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this report. Unless legally required, Occidental does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Material risks that may affect Occidental’s results of operations and financial position appear in Part 1, Item 1A "Risk Factors" of the 2011 Form 10-K.
-0-
 
Contacts:
 
Melissa E. Schoeb (media)
melissa_schoeb@oxy.com
310-443-6504
 
or
 
Chris Stavros (investors)
chris_stavros@oxy.com
212-603-8184
 
For further analysis of Occidental's quarterly performance, please visit the
website: www.oxy.com
 
 
 
4 of 4
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 1
                                 
SUMMARY OF SEGMENT NET SALES AND EARNINGS
                                 
   
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
($ millions, except per-share amounts)
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
SEGMENT NET SALES
                               
Oil and Gas
 
$
4,635
   
$
4,677
   
$
14,032
   
$
13,635
 
Chemical
   
1,119
     
1,231
     
3,439
     
3,721
 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
   
389
     
256
     
1,044
     
1,109
 
Eliminations
   
(178
)
   
(158
)
   
(514
)
   
(560
)
                                 
Net Sales
 
$
5,965
   
$
6,006
   
$
18,001
   
$
17,905
 
                                 
SEGMENT EARNINGS
                               
Oil and Gas  (a)
 
$
2,026
   
$
2,612
   
$
6,573
   
$
7,704
 
Chemical
   
162
     
245
     
540
     
717
 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
   
156
     
77
     
364
     
378
 
     
2,344
     
2,934
     
7,477
     
8,799
 
                                 
Unallocated Corporate Items
                               
Interest expense, net (b)
   
(34
)
   
(23
)
   
(87
)
   
(259
)
Income taxes (c)
   
(855
)
   
(1,087
)
   
(2,869
)
   
(3,252
)
Other
   
(76
)
   
(49
)
   
(250
)
   
(289
)
                                 
Income from Continuing Operations
   
1,379
     
1,775
     
4,271
     
4,999
 
Discontinued operations, net (d)
   
(4
)
   
(4
)
   
(9
)
   
138
 
                                 
NET INCOME
 
$
1,375
   
$
1,771
   
$
4,262
   
$
5,137
 
                                 
BASIC EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE
                               
Income from continuing operations
 
$
1.70
   
$
2.18
   
$
5.26
   
$
6.14
 
Discontinued operations, net
   
(0.01
)
   
(0.01
)
   
(0.01
)
   
0.17
 
   
$
1.69
   
$
2.17
   
$
5.25
   
$
6.31
 
                                 
DILUTED EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE
                               
Income from continuing operations
 
$
1.70
   
$
2.18
   
$
5.26
   
$
6.14
 
Discontinued operations, net
   
(0.01
)
   
(0.01
)
   
(0.01
)
   
0.17
 
   
$
1.69
   
$
2.17
   
$
5.25
   
$
6.31
 
AVERAGE COMMON SHARES OUTSTANDING
                               
BASIC
   
809.7
     
812.5
     
810.1
     
812.6
 
DILUTED
   
810.4
     
813.2
     
810.8
     
813.3
 
                                 
(a) Oil and Gas - The nine months of 2011 include pre-tax charges of $35 million related to exploration write-offs in Libya and $29 million related to Colombia net worth tax.  Also, included in the nine months of 2011 results is a pre-tax gain for sale of an interest in a Colombia pipeline of $22 million.
(b) Unallocated Corporate Items - Interest Expense, net - The nine months of 2011 include a pre-tax charge of $163 million related to the premium on debt extinguishment.
(c) Unallocated Corporate Items - Taxes - The nine months of 2011 include a net $21 million charge for out-of-period state income taxes.
(d) Discontinued Operations, net - The nine months of 2011 include a $144 million after-tax gain from the sale of the Argentine operations.
 
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 2
                                 
SUMMARY OF CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND DD&A EXPENSE
                                 
   
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
($ millions)
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
 
$
2,591
   
$
2,011
   
$
7,716
   
$
4,969
 
                                 
DEPRECIATION, DEPLETION AND
                               
AMORTIZATION OF ASSETS
 
$
1,149
   
$
924
   
$
3,320
   
$
2,653
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 3
                                 
SUMMARY OF OPERATING STATISTICS - PRODUCTION
                                 
   
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
   
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
NET OIL, GAS AND LIQUIDS PRODUCTION PER DAY
                               
United States
                               
Crude Oil (MBBL)
                               
California
   
88
     
80
     
87
     
78
 
Permian
   
144
     
133
     
140
     
132
 
Midcontinent and Other
   
28
     
17
     
24
     
16
 
Total
   
260
     
230
     
251
     
226
 
                                 
NGL (MBBL)
                               
California
   
18
     
16
     
16
     
15
 
Permian
   
40
     
37
     
39
     
38
 
Midcontinent and Other
   
16
     
20
     
18
     
14
 
Total
   
74
     
73
     
73
     
67
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
                               
California
   
247
     
269
     
261
     
254
 
Permian
   
151
     
151
     
153
     
153
 
Midcontinent and Other
   
414
     
379
     
414
     
357
 
Total
   
812
     
799
     
828
     
764
 
                                 
Latin America
                               
Crude Oil  (MBBL) - Colombia
   
30
     
27
     
28
     
29
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF) - Bolivia
   
12
     
15
     
13
     
16
 
                                 
Middle East / North Africa
                               
Crude Oil (MBBL)
                               
Bahrain
   
4
     
4
     
5
     
4
 
Dolphin
   
7
     
10
     
8
     
10
 
Oman
   
69
     
69
     
65
     
68
 
Qatar
   
69
     
73
     
71
     
72
 
Other
   
34
     
32
     
36
     
39
 
Total
   
183
     
188
     
185
     
193
 
                                 
NGL (MBBL)
                               
Dolphin
   
7
     
11
     
9
     
11
 
Other
   
1
     
-
     
-
     
-
 
Total
   
8
     
11
     
9
     
11
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
                               
Bahrain
   
237
     
169
     
229
     
171
 
Dolphin
   
147
     
215
     
171
     
205
 
Oman
   
57
     
59
     
57
     
53
 
Total
   
441
     
443
     
457
     
429
 
                                 
                                 
Barrels of Oil Equivalent (MBOE)
   
766
     
739
     
762
     
728
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 4
                                 
SUMMARY OF OPERATING STATISTICS - SALES
                                 
   
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
   
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
NET OIL, GAS AND LIQUIDS SALES PER DAY
                               
                                 
United States
                               
Crude Oil (MBBL)
   
259
     
230
     
251
     
226
 
NGL (MBBL)
   
74
     
73
     
73
     
67
 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
   
807
     
799
     
825
     
764
 
                                 
Latin America
                               
Crude Oil  (MBBL) - Colombia
   
30
     
24
     
28
     
29
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF) - Bolivia
   
12
     
15
     
13
     
16
 
                                 
Middle East / North Africa
                               
Crude Oil (MBBL)
                               
Bahrain
   
4
     
4
     
4
     
4
 
Dolphin
   
7
     
9
     
8
     
9
 
Oman
   
67
     
71
     
64
     
70
 
Qatar
   
68
     
76
     
70
     
73
 
Other
   
38
     
35
     
34
     
35
 
Total
   
184
     
195
     
180
     
191
 
                                 
NGL (MBBL)
                               
Dolphin
   
8
     
11
     
9
     
11
 
                                 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
   
441
     
443
     
457
     
429
 
                                 
                                 
Barrels of Oil Equivalent (MBOE)
   
765
     
743
     
757
     
726
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 5
                                 
SIGNIFICANT TRANSACTIONS AND EVENTS AFFECTING EARNINGS
                                 
Occidental's results of operations often include the effects of significant transactions and events affecting earnings that vary widely and unpredictably in nature, timing and amount. Therefore, management uses a measure called "core results," which excludes those items. This non-GAAP measure is not meant to disassociate those items from management's performance, but rather is meant to provide useful information to investors interested in comparing Occidental's earnings performance between periods. Reported earnings are considered representative of management's performance over the long term. Core results is not considered to be an alternative to operating income in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles.
                                 
   
Third Quarter
($ millions, except per-share amounts)
 
2012
 
Diluted
EPS
 
2011
 
Diluted
EPS
TOTAL REPORTED EARNINGS
 
$
1,375
   
$
1.69
   
$
1,771
   
$
2.17
 
                                 
Oil and Gas
                               
Segment Earnings
 
$
2,026
           
$
2,612
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
2,026
             
2,612
         
                                 
Chemicals
                               
Segment Earnings
   
162
             
245
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
162
             
245
         
                                 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
                               
Segment Earnings
   
156
             
77
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
156
             
77
         
                                 
Total Segment Core Results
   
2,344
             
2,934
         
                                 
Corporate
                               
Corporate Results --
                               
Non Segment *
   
(969
)
           
(1,163
)
       
Add:
                               
Discontinued operations, net **
   
4
             
4
         
                                 
Corporate Core Results - Non Segment
   
(965
)
           
(1,159
)
       
                                 
TOTAL CORE RESULTS
 
$
1,379
   
$
1.70
   
$
1,775
   
$
2.18
 
                                 
 *  Interest expense, income taxes, G&A expense and other.
** Amounts shown after tax.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Attachment 6
                                 
SIGNIFICANT TRANSACTIONS AND EVENTS AFFECTING EARNINGS (continued)
                                 
   
Nine Months
($ millions, except per-share amounts)
 
2012
 
Diluted
EPS
 
2011
 
Diluted
EPS
TOTAL REPORTED EARNINGS
 
$
4,262
   
$
5.25
   
$
5,137
   
$
6.31
 
                                 
Oil and Gas
                               
Segment Earnings
 
$
6,573
           
$
7,704
         
Add:
                               
Libya exploration write-off
   
-
             
35
         
Gain on sale of Colombia pipeline interest
   
-
             
(22
)
       
Foreign tax
   
-
             
29
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
6,573
             
7,746
         
                                 
Chemicals
                               
Segment Earnings
   
540
             
717
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
540
             
717
         
                                 
Midstream, Marketing and Other
                               
Segment Earnings
   
364
             
378
         
Add:
                               
No significant items affecting earnings
   
-
             
-
         
                                 
Segment Core Results
   
364
             
378
         
                                 
Total Segment Core Results
   
7,477
             
8,841
         
                                 
Corporate
                               
Corporate Results --
                               
Non Segment *
   
(3,215
)
           
(3,662
)
       
Add:
                               
Premium on debt extinguishments
   
-
             
163
         
State income tax charge
   
-
             
33
         
Tax effect of pre-tax adjustments
   
-
             
(50
)
       
Discontinued operations, net **
   
9
             
(138
)
       
                                 
Corporate Core Results - Non Segment
   
(3,206
)
           
(3,654
)
       
                                 
TOTAL CORE RESULTS
 
$
4,271
   
$
5.26
   
$
5,187
   
$
6.37
 
                                 
 *  Interest expense, income taxes, G&A expense and other
** Amounts shown after tax.
 
 
 
 
 
 
ex99_2-20121025.htm
EXHIBIT 99.2
Occidental Petroleum Corporation

CYNTHIA L. WALKER
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

– Conference Call –
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings Announcement

October 25, 2012
Los Angeles, California


Thank you Chris.
Income from continuing operations was $1.4 billion or $1.70 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2012, compared to $1.8 billion or $2.18 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2011 and $1.3 billion or $1.64 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2012.
The third quarter income from continuing operations improved $0.06 per diluted share from the second quarter of 2012.  The improvement reflected higher margins in the marketing and trading businesses, partially offset by lower earnings in the chemical segment.  In the oil and gas business, the effect of higher liquids production and domestic gas prices was partially offset by the impact of a 3 percent decline in realized worldwide crude oil prices.

1
 
 
 
 
Here’s the segment breakdown for the third quarter.
Oil and gas segment earnings for the third quarter of 2012 were $2.0 billion, compared with $2.0 billion in the second quarter of 2012 and $2.6 billion in the third quarter of 2011.
The third quarter 2012 total daily production was 766,000 barrels, flat with the record set by the company in the second quarter of 2012, and up 4 percent from the third quarter of 2011.
 
Our domestic production was 469,000 barrels per day, an increase of 7,000 barrels from the second quarter of 2012 and the eighth consecutive quarterly domestic volume record for the company.  Production was 8 percent higher than the third quarter of 2011.  Almost all of the sequential quarterly increase came from the Permian and Williston Basins.  California production was higher in liquids but flat on a BOE basis with the second quarter, mainly due to lower gas volumes associated with the initial start-up issues of the new gas plant.  These issues were resolved mid-quarter although the positive effect of the plant on overall third quarter production was limited. California's current production run rate is approximately 150,000 barrels per day.
 
Latin America volumes were 32,000 barrels per day.
 
In the Middle East region, volumes were 265,000 barrels per day.  I will note meaningful sequential changes in Qatar production.  Details regarding other country-specific production levels are available as usual in the Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules we provide.  Dolphin's production was 13,000 barrels per day lower than the second quarter resulting from the full cost recovery of pre-startup capital, as we noted last quarter.  Qatar's

2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
production was also impacted by a facility outage in August, which reduced production by 5,000 barrels per day.  The outage was subsequently resolved.  The rest of the Middle East partially offset these decreases in part due to higher spending levels.  Factors affecting production sharing and similar contracts, including oil prices, did not significantly impact this quarter’s production volumes compared to the third quarter of 2011 or the second quarter of 2012.
 
Third quarter 2012 realized prices were mixed for our products compared to the second quarter of the year.  Our worldwide crude oil realized price was $96.62 per barrel, a decrease of about 3 percent; worldwide NGLs were $40.65 per barrel, also a decrease of about 3 percent from the second quarter; while domestic natural gas prices were $2.48 per MCF, an improvement of 19 percent.  The change in worldwide crude oil realized price was primarily due to the mix of sales volumes in the third quarter.
 
Third quarter 2012 realized prices were lower than third quarter 2011 prices for all our products.  On a year-over-year basis, price decreases were one percent for worldwide crude oil, 27 percent for worldwide NGLs and 41 percent for domestic natural gas.
 
Realized oil prices for the quarter represented 105 percent of the average WTI and 88 percent of the average Brent price.  Realized NGL prices were 44 percent of the average WTI and realized domestic gas prices were 90 percent of the average NYMEX price.
 
Price changes at current global prices affect our quarterly earnings before income taxes by $36 million for a $1.00 per barrel change in oil prices and $8 million for a $1.00 per barrel change in NGL

3
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
prices.  A swing of 50 cents per million BTUs in domestic gas prices affects quarterly pre-tax earnings by about $35 million.  These price change sensitivities include the impact of production-sharing and similar contract volume changes on income.
 
Oil and gas production costs were $15.00 per barrel for the first nine months of 2012, compared with $12.84 per barrel for the full year 2011.  The cost increase reflects higher well maintenance activity, in part reflecting our higher well count, higher workover activity and higher support and injection costs.
 
Taxes other than on income, which are generally related to product prices, were $2.43 per barrel for the first nine months of 2012, compared with $2.21 per barrel for the full year of 2011.
 
Third quarter exploration expense was $69 million.
Chemical segment earnings for the third quarter of 2012 were $162 million, compared to $194 million in the second quarter of 2012 and $245 million for the third quarter of 2011.  Both the sequential quarterly and year-over-year declines were due to lower Asian market demand that drove export prices lower, partially offset by lower ethylene costs.
Midstream segment earnings were $156 million for the third quarter of 2012, compared to $77 million in the second quarter of 2012 and in the third quarter of 2011.  The 2012 quarterly increase in earnings was in the marketing and trading businesses and power generation, partially offset by lower margins in the gas plants, reflecting lower NGL prices.
The worldwide effective tax rate was 38 percent for the third quarter of 2012.  The lower rate compared to our guidance was attributable to a shift in the mix of income toward domestic.  Our third quarter U.S. and foreign tax rates are included in the Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules.

4
 
 
 
 
 
In the first nine months of 2012, we generated $9.2 billion of cash flow from operations before working capital changes.  Working capital reduced our nine-month cash flow from operations by approximately $660 million to $8.5 billion.  Approximately $510 million of the working capital use occurred in the third quarter.  Capital expenditures for the first nine months of 2012 were $7.7 billion, of which $2.6 billion was spent in the third quarter.  Year-to-date capital expenditures by segment were 82 percent in oil and gas, 14 percent in midstream and the remainder in chemicals.  Acquisitions for the first nine months of 2012 were $1.2 billion, of which $100 million was spent in the third quarter.  Financial activities, which included dividends paid, stock buybacks and a $1.74 billion borrowing earlier this year, provided a net $300 million of cash flow.  These and other net cash flows resulted in a $3.8 billion cash balance at September 30.
The weighted-average basic shares outstanding for the first nine months of 2012 were 810.1 million and the weighted-average diluted shares outstanding were 810.8 million.  Diluted shares outstanding at the end of the quarter were approximately 810.1 million.
Our debt-to-capitalization ratio was 16 percent.
Copies of the press release announcing our third quarter earnings and the Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules are available on our website at www.oxy.com or through the SEC’s EDGAR system.

5
 
 
 
 
I will now turn the call over to Steve Chazen to discuss an update on our operations and strategy and provide guidance for the fourth quarter of the year.
 
____________________
Throughout this presentation, barrels may refer to barrels of oil, barrels of liquids or barrels of oil equivalents or BOE, which include natural gas, as the context requires.

6
 
 
 
 
 
Occidental Petroleum Corporation

STEPHEN CHAZEN
President and Chief Executive Officer

– Conference Call –
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings Guidance

October 25, 2012
Los Angeles, California


Thank you Cynthia.
Occidental’s domestic oil and gas segment produced record volumes for the eighth consecutive quarter and continued to execute on our liquids production growth strategy.  The third quarter domestic production of 469,000 barrel equivalents per day, consisting of 334,000 barrels of liquids and 812 million cubic feet per day of gas, was an increase of 7,000 barrel equivalents per day compared to the second quarter of 2012.  The increase in the domestic production over the second quarter 2012 was almost entirely in oil, which grew from 249,000 barrels a day to 260,000.  Gas production declined 28 million cubic feet per day on a sequential quarterly basis, mainly in California, some of which was due to the initial start-up issues of the new gas plant that Cynthia mentioned.  Compared to the third quarter of 2011, our domestic production grew by 8 percent, or 33,000 barrels a day, of which 30,000 was oil production growth.
Our annualized return on equity for the first nine months of 2012 was 15 percent and return on capital employed was 13 percent.

7
 
 
 
 
 
Strategy and Operations Review
As we near the end of 2012, I want to take this opportunity to reflect on our strategy, our progress and our future.
As a Company, we continue to have three main objectives:  generate rates of return on invested capital significantly in excess of our cost of capital, achieve moderate growth of the business and deliver continued dividend growth.  With regard to returns, we don't believe that a depleting or shrinking business can maintain high rates of return.  One can reduce spending to achieve short term higher returns, but these returns would not be sustainable as the Company would deplete.  Our business model is to balance the need for growth of the business while maintaining attractive returns.  We are currently in an investing phase in many of our businesses where higher than normal portion of our capital is spent on longer-term projects.  This year, we expect to spend approximately 25 percent of our total capital expenditures on future growth projects that will contribute to our operations over the next several years.  These expenditures include capital for the Al Hosn Shah gas project which is expected to start production in late 2014; capital for gas and CO2 processing plants and pipelines to maintain or expand the capacity of these facilities to handle future production increases; part of the capital for the chemical segment; and other items.
In our oil and gas business, we have built a portfolio of assets that allows us to execute this strategy.  Domestically and internationally, we have a mix of both higher return assets and higher growth assets.  Importantly, many of our higher growth assets are relatively early in their development, although we have already experienced meaningful success.  In the U.S., our Permian CO2 operation continues to be our most profitable business,

8
 
 
 
 
 
generating the highest free cash flow after capital among our entire portfolio of assets.  In contrast, our Permian non-CO2 business is one of the fastest growing assets in our entire portfolio.  Since we began significant delineation and development efforts in 2010, we have grown production by over 25 percent.  As a result of the significant activity by us and our partners, our Permian acreage where we believe resource development is likely, has grown from our estimate of about 3 million gross acres earlier in the year to about 4.8 million acres in October.  Oxy's net share of this acreage grew from about 1 million acres to about 1.7 million acres during the same period.  The attached Conference Call Presentation Slide shows our current acreage position in the Permian.
In California, we have a very large acreage position with diverse geologic characteristics and numerous reservoir targets.  As a result, development opportunities range from conventional to steam floods, water floods and shales.  The drilling costs and expected ultimate recoveries (EURs) also vary for each.
In mid-2010, we shifted our development program to conventional and unconventional opportunities outside of the traditional and more mature Elk Hills areas.  As a result, we have experienced strong production growth in these new areas although traditional Elk Hills has experienced some decline.  As you can see on the attached Conference Call Presentation Slide, traditional Elk Hills liquids production dropped from 41,000 barrels per day in the fourth quarter of 2010 to 37,000 in the third quarter of 2012.  Liquids production growth in the rest of California more than offset this decline during the same period, growing from 49,000 barrels per day to 69,000.  Traditional Elk Hills gas production declined from 22,000 equivalent barrels per day to 19,000 during the same period, which was mostly offset by an
 
9
 
 
 
 
 
increase in gas production in the rest of California from 21,000 equivalent barrels per day to 23,000.
Recently, we further modified our programs to emphasize oil production in light of depressed gas and associated liquids prices.  As a result, gas production in all of California declined in the third quarter of this year.  Total California production growth on a BOE basis is slower than we thought it would be, in part due to the Elk Hills decline, permitting issues and more recently low gas prices.  On a positive note, overall performance of the new resources has been consistent with expectations, including our unconventional opportunities for which well performance is similar to the type curves we showed you a couple of years ago.  I would also note that over the last several years we have spent $370 million on the new Elk Hills gas plant.  The plant went into operation in early July and, notwithstanding initial startup issues, is positively affecting our operational efficiency and production including higher liquids yields.  The plant operated optimally for about one month last quarter and has been operating as expected since.
We will continue our focus on higher return, low cost opportunities in California, and as I mentioned, this is a very diverse opportunity set.  For example, one of the projects we haven't talked about much in the past is a major steam flood project in Lost Hills, where we expect to achieve significant production growth to about 15,000 barrels per day in several years from the current 4,000 per day rate.  Total oil in place in Lost Hills is estimated to be about 500 million barrels.  Using reasonable assumptions, we expect to recover over 50 million barrels net to Oxy.  Our drilling costs in this area average in the low $200,000's per well and we expect to bring this average cost down over time.

10
 
 
 
 
 
In the Williston basin in North Dakota, we currently have over 310,000 net acres with significant resource potential, which we estimate to be about 250 million net barrels.  Our production in the basin has tripled since we entered the area over a year and a half ago.  We have recently slowed our drilling activity and significantly reduced our rig count in the basin as a result of cost pressures.  While well costs have subsequently declined modestly, we will only increase our rig count when costs come down enough to make returns competitive with the rest of our portfolio.  We believe over the long-term, the total resource base in the Williston basin represents a significant opportunity for the Company.
In the Mid-Continent, including our assets in South Texas, we have significantly reduced our gas directed drilling.  However, we could ramp up our gas production rapidly and meaningfully if prices for gas and associated liquids improved from their current levels on a sustained basis.
Internationally, our most significant businesses are in the Middle East region where our operations are characterized by limited duration contracts with high rates of return on invested capital during the contract term.  Our primary focus in the Middle East is the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Oman and Qatar, which includes Dolphin.   Most of our international capital is allocated to these countries and we derive a very substantial portion of our international earnings and free cash flow after capital from Qatar and Oman.  Going forward, the UAE, where we are developing the Al Hosn gas project, also is expected to make a significant contribution to earnings and free cash flow.
11
 
 
 
 
 
The Al Hosn gas project is approximately 61 percent complete and is progressing as planned. This project made up about 11 percent of our total capital program for the first nine months of 2012.  While capital spending is running higher for 2012 than our initially anticipated levels, total development capital for the project is expected to be in line with previous estimates.  Currently, the Al Hosn project is consuming sizeable amounts of capital during its development phase.  We expect to see a significant shift in late 2014 when this project changes from being a cash consumer to a cash generator.  Once the project becomes operational, early free cash flow should approximate $600 million annually at roughly current oil prices and conservative sulfur prices.  The project has the potential for additional production in later years which would significantly increase its cash flow.  We are going to spend approximately $1.2 billion on the Al Hosn project this year.  Once the project becomes operational, our free cash flow should increase by the difference between cash consumption and generation.  Based on our 2012 capital spend for the project, this would equate to a $1.8 billion increase in cash flow.
Lastly, we are focused on improving returns through a comprehensive effort to reduce operating expenses and improve capital efficiency.  As we have indicated in the past, our operating costs have been increasing for some time for a variety of reasons including industry inflation, our desire to take advantage of high product prices by accelerating production through workovers, which pay for themselves over a short period of time, and our rapid recent growth, which causes some short-term inefficiencies.  We are embarking on an aggressive plan to improve our operational efficiency across all cost categories, including capital, with a view to achieve an appreciable reduction in our operating expenses and drilling costs to at least
 
12
 
 
 
 
 
last year's levels.  We believe we will start seeing the benefit of this plan clearly in the first quarter of 2013 and achieve last year's cost levels by the end of next year on a run rate basis.  Several initiatives have already begun and we are seeing strong early results.  For example, during the third quarter, we reduced our drilling costs by over 15% in parts of Elk Hills.  Our goal next year is to reduce well costs by about this amount for the entire business.

Capital Program
I will now turn to guidance for the fourth quarter.
Our fourth quarter capital spending will slow from the third quarter level to a run rate that we believe will be in line with next year's total capital program.  Our intention was to reduce capital meaningfully starting in the third quarter.  However, this would have resulted in inefficiencies in areas where we have seen positive results, such as the Permian, parts of California and Oman.
As we discussed in prior quarters, we are sharply reducing our pure gas drilling and have more recently cut back our drilling in certain liquid rich gas areas as well.  We are also in the process of eliminating our less productive rigs to improve our returns.  Our focus on higher-return oil drilling will result in a decline in our gas and, to a lesser extent, associated NGL production in the future.
 
13
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Turning to production expectations in the fourth quarter:
 
Over the past year, we have achieved our goal of increasing domestic production by 6,000 to 8,000 barrels equivalent per day quarter-over-quarter.  We expect our fourth quarter oil production to grow by about this much.  However, the expected decline in gas production resulting from the change in our capital program focus I discussed earlier may offset some of the increased oil production on an equivalent barrels basis.
 
Internationally, at current prices we expect production to be approximately flat with the third quarter, while sales volumes increase slightly.
 
Additionally -
 
We expect fourth quarter exploration expense to be about $100 million for seismic and drilling in our exploration programs.
 
The fourth quarter is typically the chemical segment's weakest quarter.  We estimate fourth quarter earnings will be about $140 million, or slightly lower than the third quarter.  Along with seasonal factors, weak global demand from the European and Asian economies and rising natural gas costs will keep pressure on margins.
 
We expect our combined worldwide tax rate in the fourth quarter of 2012 to increase to about 40 to 41 percent.
 
14
 
 
 
 
 
In closing, we believe we have a deep portfolio of development opportunities that will allow us to continue to deliver returns that are 5 to 6 percentage points above our cost of capital.  Total return to our shareholders is the combination of appreciation in stock price and dividends. We have long believed that the job of management is to convert earnings that are retained into stock market value.  For example, if we retain $1 billion we should be able to give the shareholders at least a $1 billion increase in the market value of the company.  Historically, we have generated closer to $1.50 in value for every dollar we kept.  This is a challenging proposition over time as the company continues to grow.  An old Wall Street maxim is that the market is a voting machine over the short term but a weighing machine over time.  We hope that this is true as we firmly believe that our program of investing on a longer than usual (for us) time frame will reap rewards for our shareholders.  If for some reason, our investment plans do not generate acceptable stock market results over a period of time, we will return more of our retained earnings to our shareholders.  
We have increased our dividends at a compounded annual rate of 15.8 percent over the last 10 years through 11 dividend increases.  We expect to increase our dividends again next year and in the future at a rate that would maximize returns to our stockholders.

Now we're ready to take your questions.
 
____________________
Throughout this presentation, barrels may refer to barrels of oil, barrels of liquids or barrels of oil equivalents or BOE, which includes natural gas, as the context requires.
 
15
 
 
 
 
 
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
Reconciliation to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP)
     
     
 
2012
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED (%)
12.6
 
     
     
GAAP measure - net income
4,262
 
Interest expense
87
 
Tax effect of interest expense
(30
)
Earnings before tax-effected interest expense
4,319
 
     
GAAP stockholders' equity
40,474
 
     
Debt
7,622
 
     
Total capital employed
48,096
 
     
ROCE - Annualized for the nine months of September 30, 2012
12.6
 

 
 
 
 
ROCE-ROE
ex99_3-20121025.htm
EXHIBIT 99.3
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
Summary
($ Millions, except per share amounts)
       
       
       
       
 
3Q 2012
 
3Q 2011
       
Core Results
$1,379
 
$1,775
EPS - Diluted
$1.70
 
$2.18
       
Reported Net Income
$1,375
 
$1,771
EPS - Diluted
$1.69
 
$2.17
       
Total Worldwide Sales Volumes (mboe/day)
765  
 
743  
Total Worldwide Production Volumes (mboe/day)
766  
 
739  
       
Total Worldwide Crude Oil Realizations ($/BBL)
$96.62
 
$97.24
Total Worldwide NGL Realizations ($/BBL)
$40.65
 
$56.06
Domestic Natural Gas Realizations ($/MCF)
$2.48
 
$4.23
       
Wtd. Average Basic Shares O/S (mm)
809.7
 
812.5
Wtd. Average Diluted Shares O/S (mm)
810.4
 
813.2
       
       
 
YTD 2012
 
YTD 2011
       
Core Results
$4,271
 
$5,187
EPS - Diluted
$5.26
 
$6.37
       
Reported Net Income
$4,262
 
$5,137
EPS - Diluted
$5.25
 
$6.31
       
Total Worldwide Sales Volumes (mboe/day)
757  
 
726  
Total Worldwide Production Volumes (mboe/day)
762  
 
728  
       
Total Worldwide Crude Oil Realizations ($/BBL)
$101.20
 
$97.33
Total Worldwide NGL Realizations ($/BBL)
$45.21
 
$55.63
Domestic Natural Gas Realizations ($/MCF)
$2.47
 
$4.24
       
Wtd. Average Basic Shares O/S (mm)
810.1
 
812.6
Wtd. Average Diluted Shares O/S (mm)
810.8
 
813.3
       
Shares Outstanding (mm)
810.2
 
811.8
       
Cash Flow from Operations
$     8,500  
 
$     8,600  
 
 
1
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
2012 Third Quarter
Net Income (Loss)
($ millions, except per share amounts)
                           
                           
 
Reported
             
Core
 
Income
 
Significant Items Affecting Income
 
Results
Oil & Gas
$
2,026
               
$
2,026
 
                           
Chemical
 
162
                 
162
 
                           
Midstream, marketing and other
 
156
                 
156
 
                           
Corporate
                         
Interest expense, net
 
(34
)
               
(34
)
                           
Other
 
(76
)
               
(76
)
                           
Taxes
 
(855
)
               
(855
)
                           
                           
Income from continuing operations
 
1,379
     
-
         
1,379
 
Discontinued operations, net of tax
 
(4
)
   
4
   
Discontinued operations, net
   
-
 
Net Income
$
1,375
   
$
4
       
$
1,379
 
                           
                           
Basic Earnings Per Common Share
                         
Income from continuing operations
$
1.70
                     
Discontinued operations, net
 
(0.01
)
                   
Net Income
$
1.69
               
$
1.70
 
                           
Diluted Earnings Per Common Share
                         
Income from continuing operations
$
1.70
                     
Discontinued operations, net
 
(0.01
)
                   
Net Income
$
1.69
               
$
1.70
 
 
 
2
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
2011 Third Quarter
Net Income (Loss)
($ millions, except per share amounts)
                           
                           
 
Reported
             
Core
 
Income
 
Significant Items Affecting Income
 
Results
Oil & Gas
$
2,612
               
$
2,612
 
                           
Chemical
 
245
                 
245
 
                           
Midstream, marketing and other
 
77
                 
77
 
                           
Corporate
                         
Interest expense, net
 
(23
)
               
(23
)
                           
Other
 
(49
)
               
(49
)
                           
Taxes
 
(1,087
)
               
(1,087
)
                           
                           
Income from continuing operations
 
1,775
     
-
         
1,775
 
Discontinued operations, net of tax
 
(4
)
   
4
   
Discontinued operations, net
   
-
 
Net Income
$
1,771
   
$
4
       
$
1,775
 
                           
                           
Basic Earnings Per Common Share
                         
Income from continuing operations
$
2.18
                     
Discontinued operations, net
 
(0.01
)
                   
Net Income
$
2.17
               
$
2.18
 
                           
Diluted Earnings Per Common Share
                         
Income from continuing operations
$
2.18
                     
Discontinued operations, net
 
(0.01
)
                   
Net Income
$
2.17
               
$
2.18
 
 
 
3
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
2012 Nine Months
Net Income (Loss)
($ millions, except per share amounts)
                           
                           
 
Reported
             
Core
 
Income
 
Significant Items Affecting Income
 
Results
Oil & Gas
$
6,573
               
$
6,573
 
                           
Chemical
 
540
                 
540
 
                           
Midstream, marketing and other
 
364
                 
364
 
                           
Corporate
                         
Interest expense, net
 
(87
)
               
(87
)
                           
Other
 
(250
)
               
(250
)
                           
Taxes
 
(2,869
)
               
(2,869
)
                           
                           
                           
Income from continuing operations
 
4,271
     
-
         
4,271
 
Discontinued operations, net of tax
 
(9
)
   
9
   
Discontinued operations, net
   
-
 
Net Income
$
4,262
   
$
9
       
$
4,271
 
                           
                           
Basic Earnings Per Common Share
                         
Income from continuing operations
$
5.26
                     
Discontinued operations, net
 
(0.01
)
                   
Net Income
$
5.25
               
$
5.26
 
                           
Diluted Earnings Per Common Share
                         
Income from continuing operations
$
5.26
                     
Discontinued operations, net
 
(0.01
)
                   
Net Income
$
5.25
               
$
5.26
 
 
 
4
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
2011 Nine Months
Net Income (Loss)
($ millions, except per share amounts)
                           
                           
 
Reported
             
Core
 
Income
 
Significant Items Affecting Income
 
Results
Oil & Gas
$
7,704
   
$
35
   
Libya exploration write-off
 
$
7,746
 
           
(22
)
 
Gain on sale of Colombia pipeline interest
 
           
29
   
Foreign tax
       
                           
Chemical
 
717
                 
717
 
                           
Midstream, marketing and other
 
378
                 
378
 
                           
Corporate
                         
Interest expense, net
 
(259
)
   
163
   
Premium on debt extinguishments
   
(96
)
                           
Other
 
(289
)
               
(289
)
                           
Taxes
 
(3,252
)
   
(50
)
 
Tax effect of adjustments
   
(3,269
)
           
33
   
State income tax charge
       
                           
Income from continuing operations
 
4,999
     
188
         
5,187
 
Discontinued operations, net of tax
 
138
     
(138
)
 
Discontinued operations, net
   
-
 
Net Income
$
5,137
   
$
50
       
$
5,187
 
                           
                           
Basic Earnings Per Common Share
                         
Income from continuing operations
$
6.14
                     
Discontinued operations, net
 
0.17
                     
Net Income
$
6.31
               
$
6.37
 
                           
Diluted Earnings Per Common Share
                         
Income from continuing operations
$
6.14
                     
Discontinued operations, net
 
0.17
                     
Net Income
$
6.31
               
$
6.37
 
 
 
5
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
Worldwide Effective Tax Rate
                             
 
QUARTERLY
 
YEAR-TO-DATE
 
2012
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
REPORTED INCOME
QTR 3
 
QTR 2
 
QTR 3
 
9 Months
 
9 Months
Oil & Gas
2,026
   
2,043
   
2,612
   
6,573
   
7,704
 
Chemical
162
   
194
   
245
   
540
   
717
 
Midstream, marketing and other
156
   
77
   
77
   
364
   
378
 
Corporate & other
(110
)
 
(107
)
 
(72
)
 
(337
)
 
(548
)
Pre-tax income
2,234
   
2,207
   
2,862
   
7,140
   
8,251
 
                             
Income tax expense
                           
Federal and state
286
   
254
   
433
   
986
   
1,360
 
Foreign
569
   
621
   
654
   
1,883
   
1,892
 
Total
855
   
875
   
1,087
   
2,869
   
3,252
 
                             
Income from continuing operations
1,379
   
1,332
   
1,775
   
4,271
   
4,999
 
                             
Worldwide effective tax rate
38%
 
40%
 
38%
 
40%
 
39%
                             
                             
 
2012
 
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
CORE RESULTS
QTR 3
 
QTR 2
 
QTR 3
 
9 Months
 
9 Months
Oil & Gas
2,026
   
2,043
   
2,612
   
6,573
   
7,746
 
Chemical
162
   
194
   
245
   
540
   
717
 
Midstream, marketing and other
156
   
77
   
77
   
364
   
378
 
Corporate & other
(110
)
 
(107
)
 
(72
)
 
(337
)
 
(385
)
Pre-tax income
2,234
   
2,207
   
2,862
   
7,140
   
8,456
 
                             
Income tax expense
                           
Federal and state
286
   
254
   
433
   
986
   
1,390
 
Foreign
569
   
621
   
654
   
1,883
   
1,879
 
Total
855
   
875
   
1,087
   
2,869
   
3,269
 
                             
Core results
1,379
   
1,332
   
1,775
   
4,271
   
5,187
 
                             
Worldwide effective tax rate
38%
 
40%
 
38%
 
40%
 
39%
 
 
6
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
2012 Third Quarter Net Income (Loss)
Reported Income Comparison
                         
   
Third
 
Second
       
   
Quarter
 
Quarter
       
   
2012
 
2012
 
B / (W)
Oil & Gas
 
$
2,026
   
$
2,043
   
$
(17
)
Chemical
   
162
     
194
     
(32
)
Midstream, marketing and other
   
156
     
77
     
79
 
Corporate
                       
Interest expense, net
   
(34
)
   
(25
)
   
(9
)
Other
   
(76
)
   
(82
)
   
6
 
Taxes
   
(855
)
   
(875
)
   
20
 
Income from continuing operations
   
1,379
     
1,332
     
47
 
Discontinued operations, net
   
(4
)
   
(4
)
   
-
 
Net Income
 
$
1,375
   
$
1,328
   
$
47
 
                         
Earnings Per Common Share
                       
Basic
 
$
1.69
   
$
1.64
   
$
0.05
 
Diluted
 
$
1.69
   
$
1.64
   
$
0.05
 
                         
                         
Worldwide Effective Tax Rate
   
38%
   
40%
   
2%
                         
                         
                         
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
2012 Third Quarter Net Income (Loss)
Core Results Comparison
                         
   
Third
 
Second
       
   
Quarter
 
Quarter
       
   
2012
 
2012
 
B / (W)
Oil & Gas
 
$
2,026
   
$
2,043
   
$
(17
)
Chemical
   
162
     
194
     
(32
)
Midstream, marketing and other
   
156
     
77
     
79
 
Corporate
                       
Interest expense, net
   
(34
)
   
(25
)
   
(9
)
Other
   
(76
)
   
(82
)
   
6
 
Taxes
   
(855
)
   
(875
)
   
20
 
Core Results
 
$
1,379
   
$
1,332
   
$
47
 
                         
Core Results Per Common Share
                       
Basic
 
$
1.70
   
$
1.64
   
$
0.06
 
Diluted
 
$
1.70
   
$
1.64
   
$
0.06
 
                         
Worldwide Effective Tax Rate
   
38%
   
40%
   
2%
 
 
7
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
 
8
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
2012 Third Quarter Net Income (Loss)
Reported Income Comparison
                         
   
Third
 
Third
       
   
Quarter
 
Quarter
       
   
2012
 
2011
 
B / (W)
Oil & Gas
 
$
2,026
   
$
2,612
   
$
(586
)
Chemical
   
162
     
245
     
(83
)
Midstream, marketing and other
   
156
     
77
     
79
 
Corporate
                       
Interest expense, net
   
(34
)
   
(23
)
   
(11
)
Other
   
(76
)
   
(49
)
   
(27
)
Taxes
   
(855
)
   
(1,087
)
   
232
 
Income from continuing operations
   
1,379
     
1,775
     
(396
)
Discontinued operations, net
   
(4
)
   
(4
)
   
-
 
Net Income
 
$
1,375
   
$
1,771
   
$
(396
)
                         
Earnings Per Common Share
                       
Basic
 
$
1.69
   
$
2.17
   
$
(0.48
)
Diluted
 
$
1.69
   
$
2.17
   
$
(0.48
)
                         
                         
Worldwide Effective Tax Rate
   
38%
   
38%
   
0%
                         
                         
                         
                         
                         
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
2012 Third Quarter Net Income (Loss)
Core Results Comparison
                         
   
Third
 
Third
       
   
Quarter
 
Quarter
       
   
2012
 
2011
 
B / (W)
Oil & Gas
 
$
2,026
   
$
2,612
   
$
(586
)
Chemical
   
162
     
245
     
(83
)
Midstream, marketing and other
   
156
     
77
     
79
 
Corporate
                       
Interest expense, net
   
(34
)
   
(23
)
   
(11
)
Other
   
(76
)
   
(49
)
   
(27
)
Taxes
   
(855
)
   
(1,087
)
   
232
 
Core Results
 
$
1,379
   
$
1,775
   
$
(396
)
                         
Core Results Per Common Share
                       
Basic
 
$
1.70
   
$
2.18
   
$
(0.48
)
Diluted
 
$
1.70
   
$
2.18
   
$
(0.48
)
                         
Worldwide Effective Tax Rate
   
38%
   
38%
   
0%
 
 
9
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
 
10
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
SUMMARY OF OPERATING STATISTICS
                             
     
Third Quarter
   
Nine Months
     
2012
 
2011
   
2012
 
2011
NET PRODUCTION PER DAY:
                           
                             
United States
                           
Crude Oil (MBBL)
                           
California
 
88
   
80
     
87
   
78
 
Permian
 
144
   
133
     
140
   
132
 
Midcontinent and other
 
28
   
17
     
24
   
16
 
 
Total
 
260
   
230
     
251
   
226
 
NGL (MBBL)
                           
California
 
18
   
16
     
16
   
15
 
Permian
 
40
   
37
     
39
   
38
 
Midcontinent and other
 
16
   
20
     
18
   
14
 
 
Total
 
74
   
73
     
73
   
67
 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
                           
California
 
247
   
269
     
261
   
254
 
Permian
 
151
   
151
     
153
   
153
 
Midcontinent and other
 
414
   
379
     
414
   
357
 
 
Total
 
812
   
799
     
828
   
764
 
                             
                             
Latin America
                           
                             
Crude Oil (MBBL)
Colombia
 
30
   
27
     
28
   
29
 
                             
Natural Gas (MMCF)
Bolivia
 
12
   
15
     
13
   
16
 
                             
                             
Middle East / North Africa
                           
Crude Oil (MBBL)
                           
 
Bahrain
 
4
   
4
     
5
   
4
 
 
Dolphin
 
7
   
10
     
8
   
10
 
 
Oman
 
69
   
69
     
65
   
68
 
 
Qatar
 
69
   
73
     
71
   
72
 
 
Other
 
34
   
32
     
36
   
39
 
 
Total
 
183
   
188
     
185
   
193
 
                             
NGL (MBBL)
Dolphin
 
7
   
11
     
9
   
11
 
 
Other
 
1
   
-  
     
-  
   
-  
 
 
Total
 
8
   
11
     
9
   
11
 
                             
Natural Gas (MMCF)
                           
 
Bahrain
 
237
   
169
     
229
   
171
 
 
Dolphin
 
147
   
215
     
171
   
205
 
 
Oman
 
57
   
59
     
57
   
53
 
 
Total
 
441
   
443
     
457
   
429
 
                             
                             
Barrels of Oil Equivalent (MBOE)
   
766
   
739
     
762
   
728
 
 
 
11
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
         
SUMMARY OF OPERATING STATISTICS
         
                             
     
Third Quarter
   
Nine Months
     
2012
 
2011
   
2012
 
2011
NET SALES VOLUMES PER DAY:
                           
United States
                           
Crude Oil (MBBL)
   
259
   
230
     
251
   
226
 
NGL (MBBL)
   
74
   
73
     
73
   
67
 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
   
807
   
799
     
825
   
764
 
                             
Latin America
                           
Crude Oil (MBBL)
   
30
   
24
     
28
   
29
 
Natural Gas (MMCF)
   
12
   
15
     
13
   
16
 
                             
Middle East / North Africa
                           
Crude Oil (MBBL)
                           
 
Bahrain
 
4
   
4
     
4
   
4
 
 
Dolphin
 
7
   
9
     
8
   
9
 
 
Oman
 
67
   
71
     
64
   
70
 
 
Qatar
 
68
   
76
     
70
   
73
 
 
Other
 
38
   
35
     
34
   
35
 
 
Total
 
184
   
195
     
180
   
191
 
                             
NGL (MBBL)
Dolphin
 
8
   
11
     
9
   
11
 
                             
Natural Gas (MMCF)
   
441
   
443
     
457
   
429
 
                             
                             
Barrels of Oil Equivalent (MBOE)
   
765
   
743
     
757
   
726
 
 
 
12
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
SUMMARY OF OPERATING STATISTICS
                                   
     
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
     
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
                                   
OIL & GAS:
                                 
PRICES
                                 
United States
                                 
Crude Oil ($/BBL)
     
91.97
     
89.78
     
95.83
     
92.19
 
NGL ($/BBL)
     
41.66
     
59.73
     
46.60
     
59.18
 
Natural gas ($/MCF)
     
2.48
     
4.23
     
2.47
     
4.24
 
                                   
Latin America
                                 
Crude Oil ($/BBL)
     
95.04
     
91.01
     
98.50
     
95.85
 
Natural Gas ($/MCF)
     
12.13
     
11.21
     
11.93
     
9.64
 
                                   
Middle East / North Africa
                                 
Crude Oil ($/BBL)
     
103.46
     
106.97
     
109.22
     
103.74
 
NGL ($/BBL)
     
30.89
     
31.60
     
33.61
     
32.98
 
                                   
Total Worldwide
                                 
Crude Oil ($/BBL)
     
96.62
     
97.24
     
101.20
     
97.33
 
NGL ($/BBL)
     
40.65
     
56.06
     
45.21
     
55.63
 
Natural Gas ($/MCF)
     
1.97
     
3.12
     
1.97
     
3.09
 
                                   
                                   
                                   
     
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
     
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
Exploration Expense
                                 
United States
   
$
44
   
$
34
   
$
186
   
$
133
 
Latin America
     
-   
     
1
     
1
     
1
 
Middle East / North Africa
     
25
     
4
     
76
     
51
 
TOTAL REPORTED
   
$
69
   
$
39
   
$
263
   
$
185
 
Less - non-core impairments
     
-  
     
-  
     
-  
     
(35
)
TOTAL CORE
   
$
69
   
$
39
   
$
263
   
$
150
 
 
 
13
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
SUMMARY OF OPERATING STATISTICS
                                 
                                 
   
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
Capital Expenditures ($MM)
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
Oil & Gas
                               
California
 
$
544
   
$
481
   
$
1,647
   
$
1,202
 
Permian
   
559
     
308
     
1,496
     
761
 
Midcontinent and other
   
278
     
311
     
1,120
     
725
 
Latin America
   
76
     
52
     
185
     
139
 
Middle East  / North Africa
   
520
     
338
     
1,378
     
993
 
Exploration
   
160
     
115
     
514
     
291
 
Chemical
   
75
     
59
     
192
     
118
 
Midstream, marketing and other
 
364
     
331
     
1,118
     
701
 
Corporate
   
15
     
16
     
66
     
39
 
 
TOTAL
$
2,591
   
$
2,011
   
$
7,716
   
$
4,969
 
                                 
                                 
Depreciation, Depletion &
Third Quarter
 
Nine Months
Amortization of Assets ($MM)
2012
 
2011
 
2012
 
2011
Oil & Gas
                               
Domestic
 
$
613
   
$
448
   
$
1,784
   
$
1,265
 
Latin America
   
31
     
18
     
86
     
67
 
Middle East  / North Africa
   
356
     
324
     
1,019
     
920
 
Chemical
   
87
     
82
     
257
     
249
 
Midstream, marketing and other
 
55
     
45
     
154
     
134
 
Corporate
   
7
     
7
     
20
     
18
 
 
TOTAL
$
1,149
   
$
924
   
$
3,320
   
$
2,653
 
 
 
14
 
 
Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules
 
 
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM
 
CORPORATE
 
($ millions)
 
                         
   
30-Sep-12
 
31-Dec-11
                         
CAPITALIZATION
                       
                         
Long-Term Debt (including short-term borrowings)
   
$
7,622
       
$
5,871
   
                         
EQUITY
   
$
40,474
       
$
37,620
   
                         
Total Debt To Total Capitalization
     
16%
       
13%
 
 
15
ex99_4-20121025.htm
EXHIBIT 99.4
 
 
Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Third Quarter 2012 Earnings Conference Call

October 25, 2012
 
 
 
1
 
 
 
 
2
 Income from continuing operations — $1.4 Billion in
 3Q12 vs. $1.8 Billion in 3Q11 or $1.3 Billion in 2Q12.
  EPS $1.70 (diluted) vs. $2.18 (diluted) in 3Q11 or $1.64 (diluted)
 in 2Q12.
 3Q12 income from continuing operations improved
 $0.06 per diluted share from 2Q12:
  Higher margins in marketing and trading businesses;
  partially offset by lower earnings in the chemical segment.
  In the oil and gas segment, the effect of higher liquids
 production and domestic gas prices was partially offset by the
 impact of a 3% decline in realized worldwide crude oil prices.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Highlights
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Highlights
 
 
 
2
 
 
 
 
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
 Core Results for 3Q12 of $2.0 B vs. $2.0 B in 2Q12
($ in millions)
 
 
 
3
 
 
 
 
4
        3Q12  3Q11
Oil and Gas Production Volumes (mboe/d)  766  739
 3Q12 production of 766 mboe/d increased 4% from 3Q11;
 Domestic production was 469 mboe/d, an increase of
 7 mboe/d from 2Q12 and the eighth consecutive quarterly
 domestic volume record for the company;
 Domestic production was 8% higher than 3Q11.
  Almost all of the sequential quarterly increase came from the
 Permian and Williston basins;
  CA production was higher in liquids but flat on a BOE basis with
 2Q12, mainly due to lower gas volumes associated with initial
 start-up issues of the new gas plant. These issues were resolved
 mid-quarter although the positive effect of the plant on 3Q12 was
 limited;
  CA’s current production run rate is ~150 mboe/d.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas Production
Details regarding other country-specific production levels available in the IR Supplemental Schedules
 
 
 
4
 
 
 
 
5
 Latin America volumes were 32 mboe/d;
 In the Middle East region, volumes were 265 mboe/d:
  Dolphin’s production was 13 mboe/d lower than 2Q12 resulting
 from the full cost recovery of pre-startup capital, as we noted last
 quarter;
  Qatar’s production was also impacted by a facility outage in
 August, which reduced production by 5 mboe/d. The outage
 was subsequently resolved;
  The rest of the Middle East partially offset these decreases in
 part due to higher spending levels.
 Factors affecting production sharing and similar contracts,
 including oil prices, did not significantly impact this quarter’s
 production volumes compared to 3Q11 or 2Q12.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas Production
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas Production
Details regarding country specific production levels available in the IR Supplemental Schedules
 
 
 
5
 
 
 
 
6
 3Q12 realized prices were mixed for our products compared
 to 2Q12.
  Our worldwide crude oil realized price was $96.62 per bbl,
 a decrease of about 3%;
  worldwide NGLs were $40.65 per barrel, also a decrease of
 about 3%;
  domestic natural gas prices were $2.48 per mcf, an improvement
 of 19%.
 The change in worldwide crude oil realized price was
 primarily due to the mix of sales volumes in 3Q12
 3Q12 realized prices were lower than 3Q11 prices for all
 our products.
  On a year-over-year basis, price decreases were 1% for worldwide
 crude oil;
  27% for worldwide NGLs, and;
  41% percent for domestic natural gas.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas Segment
Realized Prices
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas Segment
Realized Prices
 
 
 
6
 
 
 
 
7
 Realized oil prices for the quarter represented 105%
 of the average WTI and 88% of the average Brent price.
 Realized NGL prices were 44% of the average WTI and
 realized domestic gas prices were 90% of the average
 NYMEX price.
 Price changes at current global prices affect our quarterly
 earnings before income taxes by $36 mm for a $1 per bbl
 change in oil prices and $8 mm for a $1 per bbl change in
 NGL prices.
 A swing of 50 cents per mm BTUs in domestic gas prices
 affects quarterly pre-tax earnings by about $35 mm.
 These price change sensitivities include the impact of
 production-sharing and similar contract volume changes
 on income.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas Segment
Realized Prices
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas Segment
Realized Prices
 
 
 
7
 
 
 
 
8
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas Segment
      3Q12  3Q11
 Reported Segment Earnings ($mm) $2,026  $2,612
 WTI Oil Price ($/bbl)   $92.22  $89.76
 Brent Oil Price ($/bbl)   $109.48 $112.22
 NYMEX Gas Price ($/mcf)   $2.76  $4.28
 Oxy’s Realized Prices
  Worldwide Oil ($/bbl)  $96.62  $97.24
 - 1% year-over-year
  Worldwide NGLs ($/bbl)  $40.65  $56.06
 - 27% year-over-year
  
  US Natural Gas ($/mcf)   $2.48  $4.23
 - 41% year-over-year
 
 
 
8
 
 
 
 
9
 Oil and gas cash production costs were $15.00 per boe
 for the first nine months of 2012, compared with $12.84
 per boe for the full year 2011.
  The cost increase reflects higher well maintenance activity, in part
 reflecting our higher well count, higher workover activity and higher
 support and injection costs.
 Taxes other than on income, which are generally related
 to product prices, were $2.43 per boe for the first nine
 months of 2012, compared with $2.21 per boe for the
 full year of 2011.
 3Q12 exploration expense was $69 million.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment - Production Costs and Taxes
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment - Production Costs and Taxes
 
 
 
9
 
 
 
 
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Chemical
Segment Variance Analysis - 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Chemical
Segment Variance Analysis - 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
 Core Results for 3Q12 were $162 mm vs. $194 mm in 2Q12
  The sequential quarterly and year-over-year decline were due to lower Asian market demand
 that drove export prices lower, partially offset by lower ethylene costs.
($ in millions)
 
 
 
10
 
 
 
 
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Midstream
Segment Variance Analysis - 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Midstream
Segment Variance Analysis - 3Q12 vs. 2Q12
 Core Results for 3Q12 were $156 mm vs. $77 mm in 2Q12
($ in millions)
 
 
 
11
 
 
 
 
12
 The worldwide effective tax rate was 38% for 3Q12. The
 lower rate compared to our guidance was attributable to
 a shift in the mix of income toward domestic.
 Our 3Q12 US and foreign tax rates are included in
 the Investor Relations Supplemental Schedules.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Taxes
 
 
 
12
 
 
 
 
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
2012 YTD Cash Flow
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
2012 YTD Cash Flow
 Working capital reduced our nine-month cash flow from operations of $9.2 billion by ~$660 mm to $8.5 billion.
 ~$510 mm of working capital use occurred in 3Q12. Capex was $7.7 billion for the first nine months, of which
 $2.6 billion was spent in 3Q12; YTD capex was 82% in oil and gas, 14% in midstream and remainder in chemicals.
 Financial activities, which included dividends paid, stock buybacks and a $1.74 billion borrowing earlier this year,
 provided a net $300 mm of cash flow.
($ in millions)
Cash Flow
From
Operations
before
Working
Capital
changes
$9,160
Beginning
Cash
$3,800
12/31/11
Beginning
Cash
$3,800
12/31/11
Cash Flow
From
Operations
$8,500
$12,300
 
 
 
13
 
 
 
 
14
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
Shares Outstanding & Debt/Capital
 Shares Outstanding (mm) YTD12 9/30/12
 Weighted Average Basic  810.1
 Weighted Average Diluted  810.8
 
 Basic Shares Outstanding    809.3  
 Diluted Shares Outstanding   810.1
      9/30/12  12/31/11 
 
 Debt/Capital   16%  13%
 
 
 
14
 
 
 
 
15
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Key Performance Metrics
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Key Performance Metrics
 Occidental’s domestic oil and gas segment produced record
 volumes for the eighth consecutive quarter and continued to
 execute on our liquids production growth strategy.
 3Q12 domestic production of 469 mboe/d, consisting of 334 mboe/d
 of liquids and 812 mmcf/d of gas, was an increase of 7 mboe/d
 compared to 2Q12.
 The increase in the domestic production over 2Q12 was almost
 entirely in oil, which grew from 249 mb/d to 260 mb/d.
  Gas production declined 28 mmcf/d on a sequential quarterly basis, mainly
 in CA, some of which was due to the initial start-up issues of the new gas plant.
 Compared to 3Q11, domestic production grew by 8%, or 33 mboe/d,
 of which 30 mb/d was oil production growth.
 Our annualized return on equity for the first nine months of 2012
 was 15% and return on capital employed was 13%.
Note: See attached GAAP reconciliation
 
 
 
15
 
 
 
 
16
436
449
455
462
469
 Compared to 3Q11, our domestic production grew by 8%, or 33
 mboe/d, of which 30 mb/d was oil production growth.
+30 mb/d oil
production
growth
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Key Performance Metrics
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Key Performance Metrics
 
 
 
16
 
 
 
 
17
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oxy’s Strategy
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oxy’s Strategy
 Three main objectives:
  Generate rates of return on invested capital
 significantly in excess of our cost of capital;
  Achieve moderate growth of the business;
  Deliver continued dividend growth.
 With regard to returns, we don't believe that a depleting or
 shrinking business can maintain high rates of return. One can
 reduce spending to achieve short term higher returns,
 but these returns would not be sustainable as the Company
 would deplete.
 Our business model is to balance the need for growth of
 the business while maintaining attractive returns.
 We are currently in an investing phase in many of our
 businesses where higher than normal portion of our
 capital is spent on longer-term projects.
 
 
 
17
 
 
 
 
2012 YTD Total Capital - $7.7 Billion
 These expenditures include
 capital for:
  the Al Hosn Shah gas project
 which is expected to start
 production in late 2014;
  gas and CO2 processing
 plants and pipelines to
 maintain or expand the
 capacity of these facilities to
 handle future production
 increases;
  the chemical segment, and
 other items.
18
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oxy’s Strategy
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Oxy’s Strategy
 This year, we expect to spend
 ~25% of our total capital
 expenditures on future growth
 projects that will contribute to
 our operations over the next
 several years.
 
 
 
18
 
 
 
 
19
 Domestically and internationally, we have a mix of both
 higher return assets and higher growth assets.
 Importantly, many of our higher growth assets are
 relatively early in their development, although we have
 already experienced meaningful success.
 Our Permian CO2 operation continues to be our most
 profitable business generating the highest free cash
 flow after capital among all of our assets.
 The Permian non-CO2 business is one of the fastest
 growing assets in our entire portfolio.
  Since we began significant delineation and development efforts
 in 2010, we have grown production by over 25%.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Permian
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Permian
 
 
 
19
 
 
 
 
20
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Permian
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Permian
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
     
Oxy Acreage in Select Permian Basin Plays
(Thousands of Acres)
 As a result of the significant
 activity by us and our partners,
 our Permian acreage where we
 believe resource development is
 likely, has grown from our
 estimate of about 3 mm gross
 acres earlier in the year to about
 4.8 mm acres in October.
 Oxy's net share of this acreage
 grew from about 1 mm acres to
 about 1.7 mm acres during the
 same period.
 
 
 
20
 
 
 
 
21
 In CA, we have a very large acreage position with diverse
 geologic characteristics and numerous reservoir targets.
 Development opportunities range from conventional to
 steam floods, water floods and shales.
 The drilling costs and expected ultimate recoveries
 (EURs) also vary for each.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - California
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - California
 
 
 
21
 
 
 
 
22
 In mid-2010, we shifted our development program to conventional
 and unconventional opportunities outside of the traditional and
 more mature Elk Hills areas.
90
91
93
96
99
101
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
California Liquids Production Volumes
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
California Liquids Production Volumes
102
106
Liquids Production Volumes
 
 
 
22
 
 
 
 
23
 Recently, we further modified our programs to emphasize oil production
 in light of depressed gas and associated liquids prices. As a result, gas
 production in all of CA declined in 3Q12.
43
40
42
45
46
45
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
California Gas Production Volumes
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
California Gas Production Volumes
45
42
Gas Production Volumes
 
 
 
23
 
 
 
 
24
 Total CA production growth on a BOE basis is slower
 than we thought it would be, in part due to the Elk Hills
 decline, permitting issues and more recently low gas prices.
 On a positive note, overall performance of the new
 resources has been consistent with expectations,
 including our unconventional opportunities for which
 well performance is similar to the type curves we showed
 you a couple of years ago.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - California
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - California
 
 
 
24
 
 
 
 
25
 Over the last several years we
 have spent $370 mm on the
 new Elk Hills gas plant.
 The plant went into operation in
 early July and, notwithstanding
 initial startup issues, is
 positively affecting our
 operational efficiency and
 production including higher
 liquids yields.
 The plant operated optimally
 for about one month last
 quarter and has been operating
 as expected since.
 
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - California
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - California
Elk Hills Cryogenic Gas Processing Plant
 
 
 
25
 
 
 
 
26
 We will continue our focus on higher return, low cost
 opportunities in CA, and this is a very diverse opportunity set.
 For example, Lost Hills - a major steam flood project
  We expect to achieve significant production growth to
 about 15 mb/d in several years from the current 4 mb/d;
  Total oil in place in Lost Hills is estimated to be about
 500 million barrels;
  Using reasonable assumptions, we expect to recover
 over 50 million barrels net to Oxy;
  Our drilling costs in this area average in the low
 $200,000's per well and we expect to bring this average
 cost down over time.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - California
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - California
 
 
 
26
 
 
 
 
27
 In the Williston basin in North Dakota, we currently have over
 310,000 net acres with significant resource potential, which we
 estimate to be about 250 million net barrels.
 Our production in the basin has tripled since we entered the
 area over a year and a half ago.
 We have recently slowed our drilling activity in the basin and
 significantly reduced our rig count.
 While well costs have declined modestly, we will only increase
 our rig count when costs come down enough to make returns
 competitive with the rest of our portfolio.
 We believe over the long-term, the total resource base in the
 Williston basin represents a significant opportunity for the Company.
 In the Mid-Continent, including our assets in South Texas, we have
 significantly reduced our gas directed drilling.
 However, we could ramp up our gas production rapidly and
 meaningfully if prices for gas and associated liquids improved from
 their current levels on a sustained basis.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
Williston / Mid-Continent
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
Williston / Mid-Continent
 
 
 
27
 
 
 
 
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - International
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - International
 
 
 
28
 
 
 
 
29
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - International
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - International
Al Hosn Gas Project
 
 
 
29
 
 
 
 
30
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - International
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - International
 
 
 
30
 
 
 
 
31
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Operating Costs &
Capital
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Operating Costs &
Capital
 
 
 
31
 
 
 
 
32
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
Operating Costs & Capital
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings -
Operating Costs & Capital
 
 
 
32
 
 
 
 
33
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - 4Q12 Outlook
Capital Program
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - 4Q12 Outlook
Capital Program
 
 
 
33
 
 
 
 
34
 Over the past year, we have achieved our goal of
 increasing domestic production by 6 to 8 mboe/d
 quarter-over-quarter.
  We expect our 4Q12 oil production to grow by about this much.
  However, the expected decline in gas production resulting from
 the change in our capital program focus may offset some of the
 increased oil production on an equivalent basis.
 Internationally, at current prices we expect production
 to be approximately flat with 3Q12, while sales volumes
 increase slightly.
 We expect 4Q12 exploration expense to be about
 $100 mm for seismic and drilling in our exploration
 programs.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - 4Q12 Outlook
Oil and Gas Production
 
 
 
34
 
 
 
 
35
 The fourth quarter is typically the chemical segment’s
 weakest quarter.
 We estimate 4Q12 earnings will be about $140 mm,
 or slightly lower than 3Q12.
  Along with seasonal factors, weak global demand from the
 European and Asian economies and rising natural gas costs
 will keep pressure on margins.
 We expect our combined worldwide tax rate in 4Q12
 to increase to about 40% to 41%.
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - 4Q12 Outlook
Chemicals & Taxes
 
 
 
35
 
 
 
 
36
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Summary
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Summary
 We believe we have a deep portfolio of development opportunities
 that will allow us to continue to deliver returns that are 5 to 6
 percentage points above our cost of capital.
 Total return to our shareholders is the combination of
 appreciation in stock price and dividends.
 As I have mentioned before, if we are unable to generate
 value to our stockholders as measured by relative stock
 performance over a reasonable period of time, the Company's
 policy would then be to retain a smaller portion of its earnings
 and return a larger portion to its stockholders.
 We have increased our dividends at a compounded annual rate of
 15.8% over the last 10 years through 11 dividend increases.
 We expect to increase our dividends again next year and in the
 future at a rate that would maximize returns to our stockholders.
 
 
 
36
 
 
 
 
37
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Q&A
Third Quarter 2012 Earnings - Q&A
 
 
 
37
 
 
 
 
 
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
Reconciliation to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP)
     
     
 
2012
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED (%)
12.6
 
     
     
GAAP measure - net income
4,262
 
Interest expense
87
 
Tax effect of interest expense
(30
)
Earnings before tax-effected interest expense
4,319
 
     
GAAP stockholders' equity
40,474
 
     
Debt
7,622
 
     
Total capital employed
48,096
 
     
ROCE - Annualized for the nine months of September 30, 2012
12.6
 

 
 
 
 
ROCE-ROE
ex99_5-20121025.htm
EXHIBIT 99.5

Forward-Looking Statements

Portions of this report contain forward-looking statements and involve risks and uncertainties that could materially affect expected results of operations, liquidity, cash flows and business prospects.  Factors that could cause results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: global commodity pricing fluctuations; supply and demand considerations for Occidental’s products; general domestic political and regulatory approval conditions; higher-than-expected costs; international political conditions; not successfully completing, or any material delay of, any development of new fields, expansion projects, capital expenditures, efficiency-improvement projects, acquisitions or dispositions; potential failure to achieve expected production from existing and future oil and gas development projects or acquisitions; exploration risks such as drilling unsuccessful wells; any changes in general economic conditions domestically or internationally; the ability to attracted trained engineers; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations and litigation; potential liability resulting from pending or future litigation; potential disruption or interruption of Occidental’s production or manufacturing or damage to facilities due to accidents, chemical releases, labor unrest, weather, natural disasters, political events or insurgent activity; failure of risk management; changes in law or regulations; or changes in tax rates.  Words such as “estimate”, “project”, “predict”, “will”, “would”, “should”, “could”, “may”, “might”, “anticipate”, “plan”, “intend”, “believe”, “expect”, “aim”, “goal”, “target”, “objective”, “likely” or similar expressions that convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes generally indicate forward-looking statements.  You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this report.  Unless legally required, Occidental does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, as a result of new information or future events or otherwise.  Material risks that may affect Occidental’s results of operations and financial position appear in Part I, Item 1A “Risk Factors” of the 2011 Form 10-K.  We use certain terms in this report, such as total oil in place, expected recoveries, resource potential, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from using in our SEC filings.  These terms represent our internal estimates of volumes of oil and gas that are not proved reserves but are potentially recoverable through exploratory drilling or additional drilling or recovery techniques and are not intended to correspond to probable or possible reserves as defined by SEC regulations.  By their nature these estimates are more speculative than proved, probable or possible reserves and subject to greater risk they will not be realized.